6–10 Jul 2026
University of the Western Cape
Africa/Johannesburg timezone
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Probing the Overabundance of X-type Asteroids Among Small Near-Earth Asteroids

8 Jul 2026, 16:20
1h 20m
Great Hall ( University of the Western Cape)

Great Hall

University of the Western Cape

Poster Presentation Track D - Astrophysics & Space Science Poster Session 2

Speakers

Thobekile Ngwane (Stellenbosch University and South African Astronomical Observatory) Christine Margarete Steenkamp (Stellenbosch University, Physics Department)

Description

Small near-Earth asteroids (diameter ≲150 m) represent the most numerous yet least characterised segment of potentially hazardous objects in our Solar System (Binzel et al., 2004). Their rapid fading after discovery limits follow-up opportunities, leaving gaps in our understanding of their compositional distribution. Here we present results from an ongoing robotic follow-up programme using the South African Astronomical Observatory's Lesedi telescope (Ngwane et al., 2025), which employs automated scripts to identify NEA discoveries reported to the Minor Planet Center and execute multi-filter photometry within hours of detection. Using green, red, and infrared photometry, we applied a trained machine learning classifier to derive possible taxonomic classifications for 59 small NEAs spanning absolute magnitudes 22 ≤ H < 29 (corresponding to approximate diameters between ~250 m and ~5 m, assuming albedos of 0.05–0.30). We find a roughly 1:1 ratio between stony (S+Q+V) and carbonaceous/metallic (C+X) types, consistent with studies of larger NEAs (Mommert et al., 2016; Erasmus et al., 2017; Janse van Rensburg, 2021). However, we identify a notable overabundance of X-type asteroids, comprising nearly 30% of our sample, exceeding fractions reported for larger objects. Similar trends have been noted in other small-NEA studies (e.g. Devogèle et al., 2019; Hromakina et al., 2021; Moskovitz et al., 2025). The Bus-DeMeo X-complex is spectrally degenerate, encompassing high-albedo E-types, moderate-albedo metallic M-types, and low-albedo primitive P-types, which are difficult to distinguish using standard photometry. This distinction is critical for planetary defence, as impact properties vary significantly between these classes. We discuss the implications of the X-type excess and the potential of polarimetric characterisation for refining compositional constraints of newly discovered small NEAs.

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Author

Thobekile Ngwane (Stellenbosch University and South African Astronomical Observatory)

Co-authors

Dr Nicolas Erasmus (South African Astronomical Observatory) Christine Margarete Steenkamp (Stellenbosch University, Physics Department) Dr Petro Janse van Rensburg (South African Astronomical Observatory) Dr David Trilling (Northern Arizona University)

Presentation materials

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