6–10 Jul 2026
University of the Western Cape
Africa/Johannesburg timezone
**Tours now open!** Registration is now closed - All registration payments are due before 23:39 SAST on 26 June.

Empirical Modelling and Evaluation of Hourly Global Solar Radiation on Horizontal and Inclined Surfaces

7 Jul 2026, 15:40
20m
Lecture Hall DL3 (University of the Western Cape)

Lecture Hall DL3

University of the Western Cape

Oral Presentation Track F - Applied Physics Applied Physics

Speaker

Mabunda Hlayiseka (University Of Venda)

Description

South Africa’s growing energy demand, coupled with persistent supply constraints and continued reliance on fossil fuels, has intensified the need for accurate solar resource assessment to support renewable energy deployment. In this study, empirical models were developed and evaluated to estimate the components of hourly global solar radiation on both horizontal and inclined surfaces.
Measured meteorological data from the University of Venda, Vuwani SAURAN station were analyzed, incorporating key atmospheric and climatic variables including sunshine duration, air temperature (mean and maximum), extraterrestrial radiation, soil temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, cloud cover, and evaporation. The performance of different empirical approaches was assessed, with particular emphasis on the widely used sunshine duration-based models due to their simplicity and data availability.
The results demonstrate that empirical models can reliably estimate global solar radiation, with sunshine duration emerging as a robust predictor under local climatic conditions. Furthermore, the Perez model was successfully applied to accurately project solar radiation on inclined surfaces, highlighting its suitability for photovoltaic system design. These findings provide valuable insights for solar energy system optimization and reinforce the applicability of empirical modeling approaches for solar resource assessment in data-scarce regions of South Africa.

Apply for student award at which level: Honours
Consent on use of personal information: Abstract Submission Yes, I ACCEPT

Authors

Mabunda Hlayiseka (University Of Venda) Lufuno Takalani (University of Venda) Tshifhiwa Ranwaha (University Of Venda) Eric Nnditshedzeni Maluta

Presentation materials