6–10 Jul 2026
University of the Western Cape
Africa/Johannesburg timezone
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Exploring Long-term Ionospheric Total Electron Content over South Africa.

8 Jul 2026, 16:20
1h 20m
Great Hall ( University of the Western Cape)

Great Hall

University of the Western Cape

Poster Presentation Track D - Astrophysics & Space Science Poster Session 2

Speaker

Modiri Mokaila (North West University)

Description

The ionosphere is a dynamic, in-homogeneous, and electrically conductive plasma formed through the interaction of solar extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and X-ray radiation with the Earth’s upper atmosphere at altitudes of approximately 50–1000 km. Variations in ionization levels within this region significantly influence radio wave propagation and satellite-based communication systems. In this study we use Total Electron Content (TEC) as a parameter for studying ionospheric behavior due to its impact on radio communication, navigation, telemetry, tracking, and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signal propagation. We investigate long-term trends in TEC over South Africa using observations from three GNSS stations. To isolate long-term ionospheric variability, solar-cycle influence is removed using different solar activity proxies: F10.7 solar radio flux, the MgII core-to-wing index, and sunspot numbers. Monthly and yearly averaged TEC data spanning 16 to 25 years were analyzed using regression techniques to estimate long-term trends after correcting for solar activity. Results indicate a persistent negative trend in TEC across the South African mid-latitudes after accounting. Differences in trend magnitude obtained highlight the importance of proxy selection when estimating long-term ionospheric trends.

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Author

Modiri Mokaila (North West University)

Co-authors

Dr Daniel M. Moeketsi (Centre for Space Research, North-West University) Prof. John Bosco Habarulema (South African National Space Agency (SANSA)) Prof. Stephen E. S, Ferreira (Centre for Space Research, North-West University)

Presentation materials

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